Here is my Sunday column ...
Consider the plight in 2012 American politics of the
independent voter at a time when partisan polarization has exposed
Washington as a dysfunctional, gridlocked machine.
Nearly every
political strategist says that independent and moderate voters will
decide the presidential election. Political pundits routinely exclaim
that Democratic President Barack Obama and Republican challenger Mitt
Romney must “move to the center” as the November general election
approaches if they want to avoid defeat.
But are the independents mere chits tallied in a deceitful, strategic process?
A
Gallup poll shows that 58 percent of Americans favor the rise of an
independent third party. A Washington Times poll found that a plurality
of U.S. voters — 37 percent — say that, essentially, an independent
candidate could best reflect their political views. That compares to 28
percent who said the Democratic Party sufficiently represents their
wishes and 23 percent who indicated similar feelings about the GOP.
Imagine
a president elected by the Independent Party who has no reason to bow
down to either party’s congressional leaders, pushing Congress toward
the middle, toward bipartisan compromise that is sensible, not
ideological.
Since 2008, independents’ ranks have swelled by
nearly half a million voters in eight presidential battleground states
alone. While the increasingly partisan Democratic and Republican
parties, eager to play the blame game, have lost voters by big numbers,
the tally of voters registering as independents has reached record
levels in these swing states.
At the same time, Congress — the
Republican-led House and the Democratic majority in the Senate —
recently experienced record low approval ratings, down around 13
percent, due to the lawmakers’ tribal politics. The Republican
presidential primaries routinely produced surveys that demonstrated
voter interest in “someone else” entering the race.
Obama is
considered a disappointment by many loyal Democrats, and Romney is
viewed skeptically by a host of conservative Republican leaders.
This
seemed to be the year when fed-up voters would gravitate to the center,
representing tens of millions of people who view the two parties as
failures. Voters who would demand a pragmatic, solutions-oriented
approach to the nation’s agenda.
Yet, those in the middle —
independents, moderates, centrists, swing voters, ticket splitters — had
no choice but to wait, and now consider the two parties’ nominees,
picking a candidate who somewhat resembles their thinking.
Once
again, a presidential campaign arrives without an independent, third
party candidate. Four years ago, the Unity ’08 effort to draft a
moderate alternative candidate failed miserably, probably due to bad
timing.
But this year was supposed to be different. Americans
Elect, a non-partisan group with the financial backing of well-heeled
supporters, intended to break the process wide open by holding a primary
election on the Internet to choose a centrist.
The group put the
Americans Elect eventual nominee far ahead of previous third party
candidates — a spot on the ballot in all 50 states, an initial infusion
of campaign cash, and a nationwide network of volunteers ready to go to
work.
But the effort crashed and burned earlier this month in a
most embarrassing manner. Americans Elect did not attract a single
high-profile, credible candidate. Instead, gadflies and crackpots
flocked to the website and not a single candidate passed the initial
test of accumulating 10,000 online supporters to win a spot on the
primary ballot. Sadly, Americans Elect folded its tent, marking a dark
day in American politics.
Why did the attempt to nominate an independent candidate at an opportune time fall flat?
The
first and most obvious answer is that the candidates who would best fit
the bill all declined to run — New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg; former
Utah governor Jon Huntsman; former senators Evan Bayh, Bob Kerrey and
Chuck Hagel; outgoing Sens. Olympia Snowe and Jim Webb; and energetic
up-and-comers like Newark, N.J., Mayor Cory Booker.
Why did they
all shy away? Perhaps it was pressure from their particular political
party. Maybe it was doubts that a financially competitive campaign could
be waged. Or it may be that they feared a backlash if they played the
role of spoiler in the general election. Most likely, they saw that
voters — even the targeted moderates and independents — were not paying
attention to the Americans Elect project.
In any event, we now
have no centrist candidate for president while many moderates in
Congress are quitting in frustration or facing defeat in primary
elections at the hands of the fringies (my word) on the left and right.
The pandering and partisan positioning has only gotten worse.
Doesn’t
the broad swath in the middle of the electorate, which does not march
in cult-like lockstep to either party’s drum beat, deserve their own
choice?
The soul-searching underway among dedicated centrists has
focused, to some degree, on the need for the moderate movement to latch
onto a charismatic leader. Centrist candidates tend to be policy wonks,
technocrats who speak in dull detail about nuanced policies that make
sense.
Still, a fire-breathing populist might gain much more attention — but I don’t think he would be a good fit.
The
independent voter seeks a no-B.S. mainstream agenda put forward by a
smart, mature candidate who shuns the bombast of the left and right. One
prominent centrist blogger suggested that independents need a candidate
who is more “sexy” than the geeky guys who typically come to mind.
The
idea is that the fringies put forward cheerleaders, and the centrists
offer Honor Society types. The answer, under this scenario, may be the
captivating quarterback with a brain.
Many Americans Elect
founders had hoped to nominate former Comptroller General David Walker.
As the former director of Congress’ investigative agency, Walker is a
deep thinker who advocates a dramatic, balanced approach to curing the
nation’s budget deficits.
But Walker, in his appearance and his
speaking style, is very much a policy nerd. One of the first moderate
figures to recommend Walker for the presidency was New York Times
columnist Tom Friedman. In time, one centrist blogger turned the tables
and urged Friedman to run as an independent presidential candidate.
Friedman
is a multiple Pulitzer Prize winner who is a hero to many centrists.
Yet, the overarching problem may be that the big bloc of independents
and moderates lacks political activists — certainly the types who
religiously read Friedman’s columns and books.
Navigating the
United States through a time of painful economic transition at home and
continuing turmoil overseas is serious business. If not this time
around, let’s hope, for the good of the country, the situation
eventually allows a serious candidate to emerge from the center.
If
we did that, those all-important voters in the middle that are wooed by
Democrats and Republicans could provide the margin of victory to a
contender who actually represents their wishes.

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