Thursday, September 5, 2013

More good news, and more misleading news, about Obamacare



More good news today about Obamacare, and some more misleading information too …

A 25-year-old uninsured New Yorker earning $25,000 a year will pay as little as $62 a month for health insurance next year, and someone with identical circumstances living in Vermont may pay nothing, according to a 17-state survey of premiums under Obamacare.
That’s according to the new Kaiser Family Foundation report which offers the broadest look yet at what consumers who lack health care coverage will pay for insurance when the Affordable Care Act takes full effect next year.
Republican officials in states including Ohio, Indiana and Georgia have released partial information on premiums, emphasizing big increases for some customers.  
At the same time, some Republican congressmen are trying to sabotage the system by harassing the “navigators” that will help people with the ACA enrollment process that begins Oct. 1.

On Aug. 29, Rand Corp. researchers, after looking at 10 states, reported that predictions of sharp increases in premiums were overstated. “Our analysis found no widespread trend toward sharply higher prices in the individual market,” Christine Eibner, a Rand senior economist, said in a statement with the report.
According to Bloomberg news service, the lowest monthly premium for a 40-year-old in the 17 states surveyed by Kaiser would be $146 in Baltimore. If that 40-year-old had an annual income of $29,000, government subsidies would reduce the monthly cost to $111, according to the report from the nonprofit health-research group.


According to Kaiser's findings, a single 40-year-old in Los Angeles could buy the second-cheapest mid-level plan for $255 per month. But if that person makes just under $30,000 per year, he or she will only have to pay $193 per month after receiving a tax subsidy.

Strikingly, in every city analyzed, a family of four with two 40-year-old adults and a household income of $60,000 per year would pay $409 per month for the second-cheapest Silver plan after receiving subsidies. That’s more or less in line with the average $4,565 per year that workers currently contribute towards their employer-sponsored health insurance plans.

The report also finds good news for younger and older Americans. In Seattle, a 25-year-old making $28,725 per year will pay $193 per month for a Silver plan after subsidies and $138 per month for the cheapest Bronze plan after subsidies. For a single 60-year-old with the same income, those number would be $193 per month and $44 per month, respectively, after factoring in subsidies. And in Burlington, Vermont, both a single 25-year-old making $25,000 per year and a 60-year-old couple making a combined $30,000 per year would pay nothing at all for the cheapest, bare-bones Bronze plan.



Yet a third study has been released by a private group and that report is highly misleading because it cites prices on the Obamacare exchanges – the online marketplaces – but it doesn’t calculate the impact of the tax credits that are a key aspect of the entire system.
So, this study by Avalere Health claims that insurance premiums for a 40-year-old buying a mid-range plan will average close to $330 a month. But that’s before the tax subsidy is computed.

For example, using Kaiser’s ACA calculator, within seconds you can learn this: a 40-year-old earning $40,000 a year faces an initial price tag of nearly $7,700 with an average, mid-range Obamacare plan. Sounds like a lot of money. But the calculator also shows you that tax credits will lower the 40-year-old’s actual payment to $2,587, or $215 a month.

Bottom line: In paycheck terms, that’s $54 a week for fairly decent coverage.

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