Perhaps all the talk in Washington about prominent
members of Congress quitting due to hyper-partisanship – and many others
fearing a primary challenge if they don’t please the true-believers in their
party’s base – is, well, off base.
Over at The Washington Post’s “The Fix,” they crunched
the numbers and found that even as a significant number of seats have changed
partisan hands, overall turnover in Congress (due to retirements, deaths and
primary losses) has actually been rather unremarkable, from a historical
perspective.
Even the amount of new blood after the 2006 and 2008
elections, in which Democrats picked up a combined 54 House seats, ranked low
historically, according to the author of the piece, Aaron Blake.
The charts below, from the Congressional Research
Service, tell the story of turnover in the House and the Senate:
Blake’s conclusion: “The fact is that members used to retire
and lose primaries a lot more than they do today. For the vast majority of
members, merely running for reelection at all assures that they will return for
the next Congress. So why not stick around?
“Which means that the Congresses of today include about
the same amount of new blood as they used to — even as people claim to hate
everything about the institution.”


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