Tuesday, October 9, 2012

Mitt Romney making his move with moderates



John Avlon, one of the premier political columnists in the nation and one of the top experts on independents/moderates/centrists, recently posted a column that, with the help of his Daily Beast colleague Doug Schoen, breaks down in an intriguing way what’s happening in the political center.
Schoen photo/powerof thevote.com
According to Schoen, a Fox News political analyst, it appears that a lot of the movement Mitt Romney is enjoying in the post-debate polls is the result of independents, particularly women, becoming more comfortable with the Republican nominee.

Here’s a portion of the Avlon column:
“Independents are right-leaning voters who were angry at Republicans and (George W.) Bush in the past.  They will punish Republicans if they are too extreme,” says former Clinton pollster and Daily Beast contributor Doug Schoen.  “And a lot of moderates are Democrats who wouldn’t go as far left as Obama. But until Tuesday’s debate, they saw Romney as a right-wing extremist.” 
“What Romney did in the debate is show independents ‘I’m not an extremist—I’m a moderate fiscal conservative; That’s why he talked up bipartisanship so much,” adds Schoen. “And that’s why Obama is now trying to say that Romney was lying.” 
We don’t yet have (enough) polls to confirm the impact of the first debate on the state of the race.  But Schoen predicts that “you’re going to see independents swing toward Romney, at least temporarily … This election is going to come down to 100,000 to 150,000 independents and moderate voters in Ohio, Florida, Colorado, and a few other states. And if Gov. Romney can consolidate a 10-point lead among independents and pull even with centrists, then he’ll win the presidency.”

No comments:

Post a Comment